Scotland's World Cup hopes at 0.42% - these are results they need

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Scotland hopes on the brink following defeat against Brazil

In just over 48 hours. Scotland's chances of reaching the World Cup knockouts for the first time have dropped from 42% to just 0.07%.

They require four teams to finish third in their groups but have a worse record than them -. results elsewhere have not helped Steve Clarke's side's hopes.

Losing 3-0 to Brazilin their final group-stage game dealt a substantial blow to their chances as they only managed to pick up three points from the group stage. whereas four would likely have sent them through.

Worse is the impact of the extent of their defeat. It has left Scotland with a goal difference of -3. which makes it trickier for them to finish with a better record than many other third-placed sides.

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Scotland's World Cup hopes on brink after 3-0 defeat by Brazil

What each team need to make World Cup knockouts

First,South Africa beat South Korea 1-0to snatch one of the top two places in their group. meaning South Korea - who have a better goal difference than Scotland - dropped to third.

After that, Ecuadorproduced an unexpected 2-1 victoryover Germany to finish third in their group with four points. seal a spot in the last 32.

Sweden thenheld Japan to a 1-1 draw,also qualifying from third place with four points.

Scotland were down to an 6.89% chance of qualification after that. according to Opta, which decreased to 5.26% after Paraguayplayed out a stalematewith Australia which suited both sides.

Uruguay losing to Spain was some rare good news. Iran's draw with Egypt leaves them with just a 0.07% chance of progressing.

Those results leave Scotland sitting 10th out of the 12 current third-placed sides. on the brink of missing out on a knockout spot.

If teams in the third-place standings finish level on points, the rankings are then decided by goal difference.

There are now only three groups left to be completed, and Scotland need numerous results to go in their favour.

They need Austria to beat Algeria by at least two goals. or for Algeria to win by four goals or more.

They also need Ghana to defeat Croatia by three goals or more. either DR Congo and Uzbekistan to draw, or for the latter to win by a maximum of three goals.

There are three groups left to play, and Scotland need four third-placed teams to have a worse record than them.

It means they need these scenarios to play out:

Group L:Croatia to lose to Ghana by at least three goals.

Group K:DR Congo v Uzbekistan to be a draw.

Or Uzbekistan to win by no more than three goals.

Group J:Austria and Algeria are on three points and a draw would send both through.

Scotland need Algeria to lose by two or more goals, or Austria to be beaten by at least four goals.

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