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India's failed pursuit of Pakistan's isolation

India's failed pursuit of Pakistan's isolation

In September 2016, standing before a rally in Kerala, Narendra Modi made a promise. India, he declared, would launch an all-out campaign to isolate Pakistan. It was the kind of thinking that plays well in a crowd - muscular, self-righteous, vengeful. A decade on, Pakistan is simultaneously engaged with Washington, Beijing, Tehran. Riyadh; has brokered a ceasefire between Iran and the United States; and has been credited by Donald Trump for saving the world from a catastrophe so many times that New Delhi has stopped counting.

To understand how this happened, one has to make sense of the strategy. It was never simply about terrorism or surgical strikes or water treaties. Those were mere instruments. The objective was larger. more ideological: the delegitimisation of Pakistan as a state, as an idea, and as the political expression of Muslim identity in South Asia.

The Hindutva project that has governed India since 2014 has always carried a deep discomfort with Pakistan's very existence. rooted in the dream of an undivided Hindu homeland. It is telling,. actually rather significant, that RSS General Secretary Dattatreya Hosabale recently called for India to resume dialogue with Pakistan - a reflection of the fact that even the ideological establishment has quietly conceded that a decade of hostility has produced nothing worth keeping.

What India built was a three-dimensional trap. Internationally, it took the terrorism label - globalised and weaponised after 9/11 - and applied it to Pakistan. It travelled to every nook. corner of the world and walked into every forum with a single, relentless message: Pakistan manufactures terror, Pakistan exports instability, Pakistan is the problem. For years this narrative worked.

Regionally. India paralysed SAARC by boycotting the 2016 summit, effectively putting South Asia's only meaningful forum of collective cooperation into a deep sleep from which it has not woken. The bus routes went silent. The cricket grounds emptied.

Domestically, India's treatment of its own Muslim population - marked by demolished mosques, discriminatory legislation. normalised communal hostility - drew its strength from the same Pakistan policy. The message. whether directed inward or outward, was identical: Muslim political identity is inherently suspect, inherently destabilising, inherently a problem to be managed.

And yet for all its isolationist ambitions, India's strategy buckled under the weight of the world's own interests.

When India launched military action following the Pahalgam incident in 2025 without presenting evidence of Pakistan's involvement. the world refused to accept this oft-repeated script. Pakistan. holding its ground militarily, exhibited a diplomatic composure that won it what analysts now describe as the global battle of narratives.

Then came the ceasefire,. with it the image that crystallised everything: Trump, over and over again, claiming credit for brokering the peace. While Pakistan thanked him warmly for the intervention, India refused to give him the credit. India's officials were busy mocking Pakistan's military leadership in the bitterest language they could find. while Trump was calling Pakistan's Field Marshal an extraordinary personality.

In the midst of this bitter politics. India's hallucinatory obsession with Pakistan, what was truly lost over this decade was not India's reputation or Pakistan's. It was South Asia itself.

India speaks grandly of leading the Global South. It presents itself as the voice of the developing world. But leadership demands actionable results, and on that count India's record is a quiet devastation.

While Southeast Asia built ASEAN into one of the great stories of regional transformation - enabling hundreds of millions of people to break free from the poverty trap through shared trade, open borders,. the patient diplomacy of former enemies learning to trust each other - South Asia remains the least economically integrated region on earth. Intra-regional trade is negligible. The infrastructure of connection - roads. rail, energy grids, visa regimes - that could have made this neighbourhood prosperous simply does not exist, because one country decided that punishing its neighbour was worth more than building a future alongside it.

No region has ever progressed through intimidation and the conflicts it breeds. Every region that has lifted itself since the Second World War has done so through integration. through choosing peace over conflict. India chose otherwise, and 1.9 billion people across South Asia are living with the consequences.

Pakistan, meanwhile, has done something that its detractors confidently said it could not.

It is engaging the Americans on minerals and regional security. It is deepening its partnership with China. Its ties with Gulf states are expanding at precisely the moment those states are reassessing their strategic alignments. Its relationship with Bangladesh has warmed considerably. It is being spoken of as a security provider - a country. major powers need at the table rather than wish away from it.

Former Pakistani ambassador Masood Khan called it astute diplomacy,. it has also been something simpler: the proof that a nation of 240 million people, nuclear-armed, positioned at the crossroads of three continents, with roots deep in the Muslim world, cannot be wished away by the electoral arithmetic of another country's domestic politics.

The tragedy of this decade is not, in the end, about winners or losers between Islamabad and New Delhi. The tragedy is the opportunity cost - the generation of Pakistanis. Indians who might have known each other, traded with each other, built things together, and did not, because the politics of one nation's ruling ideology required an enemy more urgently than it required a neighbour.

The CBMs have been turned to rubble. The bridges of goodwill are down. And South Asia. a region that should by now be writing its own story of integration - as ASEAN did, as Europe did, ancient rivals choosing a shared future - is instead left standing in the wreckage of a promise made at a rally in Kerala.

Modi promised the world an isolated Pakistan. He gave it an isolated South Asia. That is the legacy. And it will outlast the politics that made it.

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Source: https://tribune.com.pk/story/2612478/indias-failed-pursuit-of-pakistans-isolation

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